Singapore – As Singapore’s Diamond Jubilee celebrations draw to a detailed on Saturday evening, an enormous fireworks show will illuminate the town’s extraordinary skyline.
The quite a few skyscrapers and futuristic buildings stand as a tribute to the nation’s exceptional growth after separating from Malaysia in 1965.
This tiny Southeast Asian state, with a inhabitants of simply over six million folks, has one of many highest charges of wealth per capita on the earth. Its superior economic system additionally attracts staff from throughout the globe.
The monetary hub is famed for its stability, excessive lifestyle, forward-thinking strategy and notorious for its centralised model of governance.
Whereas Singapore will take pleasure in some success this weekend, as soon as the flags are taken down and the SG60 merchandise is faraway from the cabinets, the island-nation will get again to work and start considering its future.
Plans are already in movement to proceed Singapore’s development, with its most well-known landmark – Marina Bay Sands – set to deal with a brand new fourth tower of resort rooms in 2029, whereas a 15,000-seat indoor enviornment may also be constructed on the web site.
Changi worldwide airport, which was ranked this 12 months because the world’s finest for the thirteenth time, may also acquire a fifth terminal by the mid-2030s.
Residents of the “Lion Metropolis” clearly have lots to sit up for, however the street forward may additionally include some potholes.
Al Jazeera has been looking at a few of the challenges that Singapore may face within the subsequent 60 years and the way they is perhaps tackled.
Local weather change
As a low-lying island, sitting simply north of the equator, Singapore is especially weak to the specter of a altering local weather. The nation’s former prime minister, Lee Hsien Loong, as soon as described it as a matter of “life and loss of life”.
Rising seas and elevated rainfall may result in flooding, with excessive climate occasions set to be a extra frequent incidence.
Whereas the city-state has thus far dodged the form of climate disruption that plagues lots of its neighbours, the federal government is making ready for the worst.
Rising sea ranges are of specific concern, with alarming estimates that the waters round Singapore may rise by greater than a metre (3.2ft) by 2100.
To counter the risk, plans are being thought-about to construct three synthetic islands off the nation’s east coast. These areas of reclaimed land can be linked by tidal gates and sit larger than the mainland, appearing as a barrier.
Benjamin Horton, former director of the Earth Observatory of Singapore, stated the nation may come to a standstill if catastrophic rain had been to mix with a excessive tide.
“If it flooded loads of the infrastructure in Singapore, closing down MRTs [mass rapid transit], shutting down emergency routes, flooding an influence station and the electrical energy went down – Singapore can be crippled,” Horton stated.
The already-sweltering Southeast Asian monetary hub may also have to deal with even hotter situations.
A 2024 authorities examine discovered that the every day common temperature may rise by as much as 5 levels Celsius (9 levels Fahrenheit) by the tip of the century.
Horton, who’s now dean of the College of Power and Atmosphere at Metropolis College of Hong Kong, stated this might impression the nation’s financial productiveness.
“Singapore is at all times growing and is reliant on immigrant labour that works outdoors in the course of the day. Local weather change goes to impression that considerably,” he stated.
But, Singapore, Horton stated, has “the potential to be the lead in the way you adapt to local weather change and to be the chief in coastal safety”.
Demographic time bomb
Singapore’s inhabitants is ageing at a fast price.
By 2030, it’s estimated that nearly one in 4 residents will likely be aged 65 and above.
The life expectancy for a Singaporean born right this moment is just a little beneath 84 years, with residents benefitting from a top quality of life and a world-class healthcare system.
However this demographic shift is ready to problem the city-state over the following six many years.
An ageing inhabitants will inevitably require extra funding within the medical sector, whereas the nation’s workforce may face shortages of youthful staff.
“The ensuing pressure won’t solely check the resilience of healthcare establishments but in addition place important emotional, bodily, and monetary strain on household caregivers,” stated Chuan De Foo, a analysis fellow on the Nationwide College of Singapore’s (NUS) Noticed Swee Hock College of Public Well being.
Whereas the authorities need to develop and strengthen healthcare services, they’re additionally urging residents to make higher life-style selections so as to keep more healthy for longer. New advertising campaigns encourage common well being check-ups, permitting for early intervention, whereas new expertise can also be being utilised.
“AI-driven instruments are being developed to assist psychological wellbeing, detect early indicators of scientific deterioration and help in prognosis and illness administration,” Foo advised Al Jazeera.
Fewer infants
Alongside dwelling longer, Singaporeans – like many superior Asian economies – are additionally having fewer infants, including to the nation’s demographic woes.
The fertility price, which measures the typical variety of kids a lady is anticipated to have in her lifetime, fell beneath 1.0 for the primary time in 2023 and reveals little signal of accelerating.
That determine is even decrease than Japan’s fertility price of 1.15. This week, Japan reported its sixteenth consecutive 12 months of inhabitants decline, with practically 1,000,000 extra deaths than births in 2024.
Kalpana Vignehsa, a senior analysis fellow at NUS’s Institute of Coverage Research assume tank, stated the Singapore authorities is “swimming towards a cultural tide” in its efforts to reverse the decline in births.
“Now could be the time for expansive motion to make parenting cheaper, much less disturbing, and most significantly, a extremely valued and communally supported exercise,” stated Vignehsa.
An unstable world
Singapore is famend for its impartial strategy to international coverage, balancing sturdy ties with each China and the USA.
However as relations between the world’s two largest superpowers turn into more and more strained, the Lion Metropolis’s neutrality may very well be challenged.
Any pivot in the direction of Washington or Beijing is more likely to be refined, stated Alan Chong, senior fellow on the S Rajaratnam College of Worldwide Research.
He stated that this case occurred in the course of the COVID pandemic, when Washington was not forthcoming with help for Asian economies.
“Nearly all of Southeast Asia, together with Singapore, tilted in the direction of Beijing for financial assist with out asserting it,” stated Chong.
US President Donald Trump’s punitive tariff coverage has additionally precipitated consternation within the Southeast Asian enterprise hub, which depends closely on international commerce.
Regardless of the risk from Washington’s more and more protectionist insurance policies, Chong believes that Singapore is ready to climate the storm after signing a commerce pact in 2020.
The Regional Complete Financial Partnership was agreed between 15 primarily Southeast Asian international locations, plus main North Asian economies together with China, Japan and South Korea.
“It’s an enormous insurance coverage towards any complete international commerce shutdown,” stated Chong.
Stability at dwelling
Whereas the worldwide outlook seems more and more troubled, Singapore’s home political scene is ready for extra stability over the approaching years.
The ruling Individuals’s Motion Occasion (PAP) has been in energy because the nation was fashioned and reveals no indicators of dropping management.
In Might’s election, the PAP, led by new Prime Minister Lawrence Wong, received all however 10 seats in parliament with simply over 65 % of the vote.
Whereas the nation’s leaders are more likely to keep the identical within the near-term, Teo Kay Key, analysis fellow on the Institute of Coverage Research Social Lab, stated youthful Singaporeans will quickly desire a totally different model of politics, one that’s extra open and extra participatory.
“They’re extra more likely to favour discussions and change of views,” she stated.
“There’s additionally a rising pattern the place the choice is to conduct open discussions, with a extra democratic change of concepts,” she added.
