The Related Press has projected that U.S. Rep. Mikie Sherrill (D-NJ) will win New Jersey’s Democratic gubernatorial major, and that former state assemblyman Jack Ciattarelli will win New Jersey’s Republican gubernatorial major – organising a aggressive race in November the place President Donald Trump’s inroads with Backyard State voters might be examined.
Republicans are hoping to flip the governorship from blue to crimson, and level to final 12 months’s presidential outcomes as an indication the state has gotten extra favorable for Republicans.
“This 12 months’s election for governor is crucial for New Jersey’s future. You will determine whether or not New Jersey is a excessive tax, excessive crime, sanctuary state,” Trump mentioned throughout a rally for Ciattarelli, whom he endorsed, held by phone in early June. “New Jersey is able to come out of that blue horror present.”
Democratic candidate Vice President Kamala Harris gained New Jersey by simply round 6 share factors in 2024, however then-Vice President Joe Biden gained the state by about 16 share factors in 2020. Which means Rep. Mikie Sherrill should marketing campaign in a state that could be redder than it was once.
“We constructed a nation, and folks say the scars we have now are ugly… The president comes right here nonstop to his golf course and calls our state a horror present – however come November, we’re sending a shot throughout the bow,” Sherrill informed supporters on Tuesday night time.
New Jersey Rep. Mikie Sherrill speaks through the New Jersey Democratic gubernatorial major debate at NJ PBS Studios, Might 12, 2025, in Newark, N.J.
Steve Hockstein/NJ Advance Media through AP
The overall election is also a check of the energy of a Trump endorsement with out Trump on the prime of the poll. Jack Ciattarelli doubtless benefited from Trump’s endorsement within the major, however with out Trump on the ticket in November, he should persuade Trump’s base in New Jersey to nonetheless prove.
“We gained as a result of our marketing campaign is about individuals, not politics… We gained as a result of we talked concerning the points that matter, the crucial points going through our state and my plan for a safer, extra affluent, and reasonably priced New Jersey,” Ciattarelli informed supporters at a Tuesday election night time occasion.

Former Assemblyman Jack Ciattarelli speaks after the primary Republican debate, Feb. 4, 2025, at Rider College in Lawrenceville, N.J.
Mike Catalini/AP
The opposite Democratic candidates Sherrill confronted had been Rep. Josh Gottheimer, who represents the state’s fifth District; Newark Mayor Ras Baraka; Jersey Metropolis Mayor Steve Fulop; New Jersey Training Affiliation President Sean Spiller; and former state Senate president Steve Sweeney.
Ciattarelli confronted conservative radio persona Invoice Spadea, state Sen. Jon Bramnick, former Englewood Cliffs Mayor Mario Kranjac, and contractor Justin Barbera.
The competition was on observe to change into the priciest election in New Jersey historical past, with over $85 million spent on promoting as of final Wednesday, according to a report from media monitoring company AdImpact.
Amongst Democrats, Gottheimer has essentially the most advert spending supporting him ($22.8 million), adopted by Fulop ($17.8 million).
Ciattarelli led amongst Republicans with $5.9 million in advert spending or reservations supporting him, dwarfing Spadea’s $2.2 million and Bramnick’s $1.2 million.
About 70% of broadcast advert airings have talked about Trump, in line with AdImpact.
-ABC Information’ Emily Chang, Halle Troadec, Averi Harper, and Rachael Dziaba contributed to this report.