QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong, you had forecast that Brazil would go into one other revolutionary section in 2026. Given the current occasions right here in Brazil, I feel that forecast you made three years in the past is all of the sudden trying extra believable. Would you present an replace on Brazil?
Thanks
Miguel
ANSWER: Brazil’s historical past is notably totally different from many Latin American neighbors; it didn’t have a bloody, continent-wide conflict for independence from Portugal (1822), and it has not had a basic, profitable in style revolution that utterly overthrew the state in a single occasion (just like the French or Russian Revolutions).
Nonetheless, Brazil has skilled a number of main occasions which can be formally referred to as “revolutions” and different profound transformations that could possibly be thought of revolutionary in impression. The final was a army coup that overthrew President João Goulart in 1964, which was formally referred to as the “Redemptive Revolution” by the generals who led it. They framed it as a needed motion to save lots of the nation from communism and chaos. Nonetheless, historians at the moment universally classify it as a coup d’état that initiated a 21-year-long army dictatorship, not a revolution within the basic sense.
The election of Lula da Silva was an act of financial suicide for Brazil. Silva was elected in 2022 to be the president of Brazil. That was a shocking comeback following a really tight run-off race that was not with out controversy. His victory heralded a political about-face for Latin America’s largest nation. You may see the financial penalties for the reason that US greenback reversed route and was projected to succeed in a significant excessive in 2024. Bolsonaro was forward of da Silva within the polls for the 2026 election, which is why Lula had him criminally charged, and the courts are too corrupt in Brazil to appreciate this was not an answer.
The years 2025 and 2026 are Directional Adjustments. To date, the greenback is an inside buying and selling 12 months. It seems the political uncertainty will rise in 2026, and this could carry Brazil into 2028. The chance of rising volatility will seem in March-April in 2026. The pc projections for Brazil point out that this may NOT finish properly. Brazil has nonetheless been capable of promote bonds overseas. For instance, it offered $2.75 billion in dollar-denominated sovereign bonds in June 2025. This could begin to change in 2026. Curiosity funds as a share of presidency income in Brazil are operating over 30.84%. Curiosity funds correspond to roughly 7-8% of Brazil’s GDP in current months.
The present president of Brazil is Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, who’s following the LEFTIST world agenda to additional this concept of a LEFTIST WORLD GOVERNMENT. This can be a deliberate marketing campaign on a worldwide scale that wages political conflict to encourage hatred. His prosecution of Bolsonaro is a basic instance of the leftist tactic to imprison opponents. We noticed that try with Trump, however Macron used it towards Marine Le Pen, and Germany tried to outlaw the AfD.
Different international locations which can be prosecuting former heads of state embrace Argentina, Peru, South Korea, France, Israel, Chad, Ivory Coast, Mauritania, Malaysia, Pakistan, and Guinea. Then there may be the Worldwide Legal Court docket, which has additionally change into political, charging crimes towards humanity, concerning Vladimir Putin, Rodrigo Duterte, Benjamin Netanyahu, and Min Aung Hlaing.
Now, even Romania is pulling the identical LEFTIST tactic on the route of the EU as a result of NATO is constructing the most important base in Romania to launch assaults on Russia. Calin Georgescu was towards the conflict that the EU and NATO are directing, so the reply is to criminally abuse the legislation to once more imprison your opponent. That is changing into a WIDESPREAD tactic of the LEFT, and that is all a part of the pc’s forecast for 2032. They imagine that after World Struggle III, they may get to this time, institutionalize Marxism, and kill any Capitalistic and freedom as soon as and for all.
There is concern inside components of Brazil’s army (and amongst political observers) about facets of Lula’s authorities, but it surely’s a fancy scenario. After Lula took workplace, supporters of former President Jair Bolsonaro stormed a number of authorities buildings in Brasília. There was substantial proof that some safety forces, together with army police and probably components within the armed forces, both did not act or had individuals sympathetic to Bolsonaro amongst them.
Lula turned to consolidate loyalty and belief (and to scale back dangers of components sympathetic to a coup or revolt), Lula’s authorities has made a number of adjustments:
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The Military’s high commander, Gen. Júlio Cesar de Arruda, was changed by Gen. Tomás Miguel Ribeiro Paiva.
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Some army appointments and posts have been blocked or modified, particularly the place there was concern over loyalty.
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The intelligence company, beforehand beneath army or safety oversight, has come beneath extra civilian management.
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Our sources there affirm that there are numerous within the army who’re very uneasy about being drawn into politics, about their institutional repute, and about purges or dismissals (even when legally justified) that they see as politicized. However that doesn’t essentially imply they uniformly oppose Lula or his insurance policies.
Lula’s try to make use of the authorized system to close down all opposition is very harmful, and this may change into the supply of the following revolution. Brazil is DOOMED!!!! Legally, Bolsonaro’s conviction over the coup plot is NOT universally accepted—there are appeals, dissenting opinions, and fees of political motivation, particularly from Bolsonaro’s supporters. Some within the army (particularly those that supported him) doubtless see the convictions as politically motivated or unfair; others see them as a needed response to threats towards democracy. However Lula is the true menace to democracy, however the LEFT is all the time essentially the most violent, for they inform their followers that they’re the victims of the RIGHT, who’re evil and should be destroyed.
The convictions themselves are selections of the corrupt courts in Brazil, not the army. The army’s concern tends to be extra concerning the implications that the corrupt authorized system, like now we have seen within the US with compromised judges, that manipulating the legislation for political makes use of by the judiciary has set a precedent that many are starting to see that the one answer to save lots of Brazil once more shall be a revolution.
A big rigidity is the diploma of civilian management over the army, and guaranteeing the army (and police) are impartial {and professional} relatively than being political actors. Lula has tried to claim that, however there are dangers of backlash. Then throw within the corrupt authorized system of Brazil. The courts are prosecuting people, together with army personnel. How the army handles these investigations (disciplinary, authorized) issues determines whether or not the establishment as an entire accepts the rule of legislation when the courts are appearing as a purge for Lula. The a technique to make sure a future revolution was to imprison Bolsonaro.
A good portion of Brazil’s army is deeply involved about political instability, the danger of being caught in political fights, and the implications of eradicating or disciplining personnel. However whether or not that counts as being “involved concerning the left agenda” or “afraid of Lula imprisoning Bolsonaro” relies upon rather a lot on which a part of the army, how excessive up, and the way intently related to Bolsonaro or his supporters they’re.
Even the Telegraph has seen that Obama is fanning the political divide in the USA, as a part of an agenda to make use of WWIII to revamp the USA within the aftermath, much like how Bretton Woods, the creation of the UN, and the IMF all got here after WWII. Obama is blaming Trump for dividing the nation as if the LEFT has nothing to do with it.
Obama is an excessive leftist participant on this sport. After leaving workplace, Barack Obama selected to stay in Washington, D.C., which some interpret as a solution to keep affect in politics. His continued presence has led to hypothesis about his involvement in political issues and assist for Democratic candidates. Sources have lengthy stated that Obama is mostly a closet racist, and that has coloured his leftist agenda, which he has offered quietly behind the scenes. Hw is the ONLY former President who has refused to depart politics in Washington. Whereas the press loves him, he’s rather more of a devoted zealot to his political philosophy than most are ever prepared to place in print.
